Monday, September 22, 2014

DID ENGLAND SLEEP - THE SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM IN A NEGOTIATION CONTEXT



INTRODUCTION

Today, the Scottish people go to the polls to vote a "YES or "NO" on the secession of Scotland from the United Kingdom. Either outcome is wrought with serious problems. If the vote is "NO", a large portion of the Scottish population will feel resentful knowing that this might be the last opportunity for generations, and demonstrations and riots are not out of the question. If the answer is "YES", there will be resentment on the part of England. This will be very serious for Scotland too, as there will still be many complex issues to negotiate with a resentful Westminster as a partner.

These issues will include; currency union; banking and financial services; Scotland's responsibility to the UK's national debt; National Health; European Union membership (currently Scotland is a member only by England's shirttails); borders and immigration; monarchy; and defense (involving amongst other things, the UK Trident nuclear deterrent currently based in Scotland).

These negotiations are likely to take a minimum of two years and will be acrimonious and messy. Did England sleep instead of preempting and possibly averting the current crisis?